是出手的时候吗？

zhu5355

<span class="oblog_text">&nbsp;<p class="MsoNormal" align="left" style="BACKGROUND: #fafafa; MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt; WORD-BREAK: break-all; LINE-HEIGHT: 160%; TEXT-ALIGN: left; mso-pagination: widow-orphan;"><b style="mso-bidi-font-weight: normal;"><span style="FONT-SIZE: 12pt; LINE-HEIGHT: 160%; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-hansi-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-bidi-font-family: 宋体; mso-font-kerning: 0pt;">一、<span style="TEXT-DECORATION: underline;">当前的市场消费者和开发商的搏弈</span></span></b><b style="mso-bidi-font-weight: normal;"><span lang="EN-US" style="FONT-SIZE: 12pt; LINE-HEIGHT: 160%; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-bidi-font-family: 宋体; mso-font-kerning: 0pt;"><p></p></span></b></p><p class="MsoNormal" align="left" style="BACKGROUND: #fafafa; MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt; WORD-BREAK: break-all; LINE-HEIGHT: 160%; TEXT-ALIGN: left; mso-pagination: widow-orphan;"><span style="FONT-SIZE: 12pt; LINE-HEIGHT: 160%; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-hansi-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-bidi-font-family: 宋体; mso-font-kerning: 0pt;">目前房地产市场整体处于两个周期之间的转折阶段，所以是一个变工况状态，是乱世。在这样的背景下，无论是政府、还是开发商和消费者，都对市场的未来缺乏足够的认识。所以，最终演变成开发商和消费者之间的搏弈。开发商不断提高价格，试探消费者的接受程度；消费者在彷徨中难以抉择是否该购房。</span><span lang="EN-US" style="FONT-SIZE: 12pt; LINE-HEIGHT: 160%; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-bidi-font-family: 宋体; mso-font-kerning: 0pt;"><p></p></span></p><p class="MsoNormal" align="left" style="BACKGROUND: #fafafa; MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt; WORD-BREAK: break-all; LINE-HEIGHT: 160%; TEXT-ALIGN: left; mso-pagination: widow-orphan;"><span style="FONT-SIZE: 12pt; LINE-HEIGHT: 160%; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-hansi-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-bidi-font-family: 宋体; mso-font-kerning: 0pt;">既然是搏弈，就必然有胜负。一半是运气，一半是胆子。</span><span lang="EN-US" style="FONT-SIZE: 12pt; LINE-HEIGHT: 160%; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-bidi-font-family: 宋体; mso-font-kerning: 0pt;"><p></p></span></p><p class="MsoNormal" align="left" style="BACKGROUND: #fafafa; MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt; WORD-BREAK: break-all; LINE-HEIGHT: 160%; TEXT-ALIGN: left; mso-pagination: widow-orphan;"><span lang="EN-US" style="FONT-SIZE: 12pt; LINE-HEIGHT: 160%; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-bidi-font-family: 宋体; mso-font-kerning: 0pt;"><p>&nbsp;</p></span></p><p class="MsoNormal" align="left" style="BACKGROUND: #fafafa; MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt; WORD-BREAK: break-all; LINE-HEIGHT: 160%; TEXT-ALIGN: left; mso-pagination: widow-orphan;"><b style="mso-bidi-font-weight: normal;"><span style="FONT-SIZE: 12pt; LINE-HEIGHT: 160%; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-hansi-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-bidi-font-family: 宋体; mso-font-kerning: 0pt;">二、<span style="TEXT-DECORATION: underline;">杭州房地产市场的供应态势</span></span></b><b style="mso-bidi-font-weight: normal;"><span lang="EN-US" style="FONT-SIZE: 12pt; LINE-HEIGHT: 160%; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-bidi-font-family: 宋体; mso-font-kerning: 0pt;"><p></p></span></b></p><p class="MsoNormal" align="left" style="BACKGROUND: #fafafa; MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt; WORD-BREAK: break-all; LINE-HEIGHT: 160%; TEXT-ALIGN: left; mso-pagination: widow-orphan;"><span style="FONT-SIZE: 12pt; LINE-HEIGHT: 160%; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-hansi-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-bidi-font-family: 宋体; mso-font-kerning: 0pt;">本地开发商周期性的地荒加上外来开发商的一涌而入，造成了阶段性商品房的供应量不足，以及土地市场的供不应求。现在如果没有很好的关系，很难买到中心地段的房子，仿佛回到了上一个房地产飞涨的周期。</span><span lang="EN-US" style="FONT-SIZE: 12pt; LINE-HEIGHT: 160%; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-bidi-font-family: 宋体; mso-font-kerning: 0pt;"><p></p></span></p><p class="MsoNormal" align="left" style="BACKGROUND: #fafafa; MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt; WORD-BREAK: break-all; LINE-HEIGHT: 160%; TEXT-ALIGN: left; mso-pagination: widow-orphan;"><span style="FONT-SIZE: 12pt; LINE-HEIGHT: 160%; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-hansi-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-bidi-font-family: 宋体; mso-font-kerning: 0pt;">看网络分析＞</span></p><p class="MsoNormal" align="left" style="BACKGROUND: #fafafa; MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt; WORD-BREAK: break-all; LINE-HEIGHT: 160%; TEXT-ALIGN: left; mso-pagination: widow-orphan;"><span style="FONT-SIZE: 12pt; LINE-HEIGHT: 160%; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-hansi-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-bidi-font-family: 宋体; mso-font-kerning: 0pt;">但从土地出让情况看，未来两三年内房地产的供应将会有一些新的态势。</span><span lang="EN-US" style="FONT-SIZE: 12pt; LINE-HEIGHT: 160%; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-bidi-font-family: 宋体; mso-font-kerning: 0pt;"><p></p></span></p><p class="MsoNormal" align="left" style="BACKGROUND: #fafafa; MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt; WORD-BREAK: break-all; LINE-HEIGHT: 160%; TEXT-ALIGN: left; mso-pagination: widow-orphan;"><b><span style="FONT-SIZE: 12pt; LINE-HEIGHT: 160%; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; TEXT-DECORATION: underline; mso-ascii-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-hansi-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-bidi-font-family: 宋体; mso-font-kerning: 0pt;">一是供应板块向近郊扩展</span></b><span style="FONT-SIZE: 12pt; LINE-HEIGHT: 160%; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-hansi-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-bidi-font-family: 宋体; mso-font-kerning: 0pt;">。在中心城区土地日益稀少的情况下，三墩、丁桥、九堡、下沙的供应量大幅度增加，尤其是</span><span lang="EN-US" style="FONT-SIZE: 12pt; LINE-HEIGHT: 160%; FONT-FAMILY: Times New Roman; mso-font-kerning: 0pt;">2007</span><span style="FONT-SIZE: 12pt; LINE-HEIGHT: 160%; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-hansi-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-bidi-font-family: 宋体; mso-font-kerning: 0pt;">年，这三个板块的土地供应成为主力，为购房者提供了新的选择。</span><span lang="EN-US" style="FONT-SIZE: 12pt; LINE-HEIGHT: 160%; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-bidi-font-family: 宋体; mso-font-kerning: 0pt;"><p></p></span></p><p class="MsoNormal" align="left" style="BACKGROUND: #fafafa; MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt; WORD-BREAK: break-all; LINE-HEIGHT: 160%; TEXT-ALIGN: left; mso-pagination: widow-orphan;"><b><span style="FONT-SIZE: 12pt; LINE-HEIGHT: 160%; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; TEXT-DECORATION: underline; mso-ascii-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-hansi-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-bidi-font-family: 宋体; mso-font-kerning: 0pt;">二、未来供应量可观</span></b><span lang="EN-US" style="FONT-SIZE: 12pt; LINE-HEIGHT: 160%; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-bidi-font-family: 宋体; mso-font-kerning: 0pt;"><p></p></span></p><p class="MsoNormal" align="left" style="BACKGROUND: #fafafa; MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt; WORD-BREAK: break-all; LINE-HEIGHT: 160%; TEXT-ALIGN: left; mso-pagination: widow-orphan;"><span style="FONT-SIZE: 12pt; LINE-HEIGHT: 160%; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-hansi-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-bidi-font-family: 宋体; mso-font-kerning: 0pt;">未来近郊板块的供应量非常可观，并且</span><span lang="EN-US" style="FONT-SIZE: 12pt; LINE-HEIGHT: 160%; FONT-FAMILY: Times New Roman; mso-font-kerning: 0pt;">40</span><span style="FONT-SIZE: 12pt; LINE-HEIGHT: 160%; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-hansi-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-bidi-font-family: 宋体; mso-font-kerning: 0pt;">万以上的超级大盘不断涌现，在</span><span lang="EN-US" style="FONT-SIZE: 12pt; LINE-HEIGHT: 160%; FONT-FAMILY: Times New Roman; mso-font-kerning: 0pt;">2008-1010</span><span style="FONT-SIZE: 12pt; LINE-HEIGHT: 160%; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-hansi-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-bidi-font-family: 宋体; mso-font-kerning: 0pt;">开始集中放量，将迎来一个新的供应高峰。</span><span lang="EN-US" style="FONT-SIZE: 12pt; LINE-HEIGHT: 160%; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-bidi-font-family: 宋体; mso-font-kerning: 0pt;"><p></p></span></p><p class="MsoNormal" align="left" style="BACKGROUND: #fafafa; MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt; WORD-BREAK: break-all; LINE-HEIGHT: 160%; TEXT-ALIGN: left; mso-pagination: widow-orphan;"><span lang="EN-US" style="FONT-SIZE: 12pt; LINE-HEIGHT: 160%; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-bidi-font-family: 宋体; mso-font-kerning: 0pt;"><p>&nbsp;</p></span></p><p class="MsoNormal" align="left" style="BACKGROUND: #fafafa; MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt; WORD-BREAK: break-all; LINE-HEIGHT: 160%; TEXT-ALIGN: left; mso-pagination: widow-orphan;"><b style="mso-bidi-font-weight: normal;"><span style="FONT-SIZE: 12pt; LINE-HEIGHT: 160%; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-hansi-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-bidi-font-family: 宋体; mso-font-kerning: 0pt;">三、<span style="TEXT-DECORATION: underline;">是否购房取决于目的和心态</span></span></b><b style="mso-bidi-font-weight: normal;"><span lang="EN-US" style="FONT-SIZE: 12pt; LINE-HEIGHT: 160%; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-bidi-font-family: 宋体; mso-font-kerning: 0pt;"><p></p></span></b></p><p class="MsoNormal" align="left" style="BACKGROUND: #fafafa; MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt; WORD-BREAK: break-all; LINE-HEIGHT: 160%; TEXT-ALIGN: left; mso-pagination: widow-orphan;"><span style="FONT-SIZE: 12pt; LINE-HEIGHT: 160%; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-hansi-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-bidi-font-family: 宋体; mso-font-kerning: 0pt;">如果是投资，则目前依然有很多的机会，因为一方面房地产市场还处于上升周期，尤其是在近郊板块；其次通货膨胀的因素对房价上涨有很大的作用。</span><span lang="EN-US" style="FONT-SIZE: 12pt; LINE-HEIGHT: 160%; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-bidi-font-family: 宋体; mso-font-kerning: 0pt;"><p></p></span></p><p class="MsoNormal" align="left" style="BACKGROUND: #fafafa; MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt; WORD-BREAK: break-all; LINE-HEIGHT: 160%; TEXT-ALIGN: left; mso-pagination: widow-orphan;"><span style="FONT-SIZE: 12pt; LINE-HEIGHT: 160%; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-hansi-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-bidi-font-family: 宋体; mso-font-kerning: 0pt;">如果是自住，而且目前急需住房，则建议尽早购房。</span><span lang="EN-US" style="FONT-SIZE: 12pt; LINE-HEIGHT: 160%; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-bidi-font-family: 宋体; mso-font-kerning: 0pt;"><p></p></span></p><p class="MsoNormal" align="left" style="BACKGROUND: #fafafa; MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt; WORD-BREAK: break-all; LINE-HEIGHT: 160%; TEXT-ALIGN: left; mso-pagination: widow-orphan;"><span style="FONT-SIZE: 12pt; LINE-HEIGHT: 160%; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-hansi-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-bidi-font-family: 宋体; mso-font-kerning: 0pt;">如果纯粹购置住房用于未来居住，且购买力较弱，则可以考虑近郊板块。</span><span lang="EN-US" style="FONT-SIZE: 12pt; LINE-HEIGHT: 160%; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-bidi-font-family: 宋体; mso-font-kerning: 0pt;"><p></p></span></p></span>

金色樱花

<p>&nbsp;</p>现在是有价无市！[em02]